Written for Eric Jackson’s Predictions Post for Forbes, some themes to watch in 2014:
The Rise of Citizen Science
Humans have long participated in scientific research, but Moore’s Law and Open Source Communities have given individuals inexpensive access to powerful research tools for the first time. Similar to other industries, when the cost of experimentation approaches zero, you spur individual creativity and open up whole new areas of opportunity. Early success stories include Foldit, Galaxy Zoo, Phylo, and Zooniverse but companies like OpenROV and 3D Robotics or projects like HiveBio in Seattle show what could be possible in the short-term.
Commercial Open Source Grows Up
Open Source Software has come a far way from its roots with Richard Stallman and the Free Software Movement in 1983. Individuals have long understood the technical merits and starting with the Open Sourcing of Netscape’s Browser in 1998, corporations have been opening up to the strategic and business value of Open Source too. Over the past decade, we’ve watched more and more individuals build sustainable businesses around open source projects – early examples include Automattic, SugarCRM, Cloudera, Mulesoft, and Puppet Labs – and next year we’ll start to see more of them maturing into large independent enterprises.
Human DNA as Code
This is the opportunity created by a software-first approach to solving problems in human biology and patient care driven by the explosion of available medical data (through EMRs) and molecular data (through the rapidly declining costs of full genome sequencing and other tests.) The market is lipe for rethinking as data finally comes online in a readable and maluable format. Companies to watch include Moleculo, Counsyl, Ginger.io, and Practice Fusion.